"Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK at the end of 2023?"
Basic
2
Ṁ71Dec 31
41%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is question #25 in the Astral Codex Ten 2023 Prediction Contest. The contest rules and full list of questions are available here.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
25. Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK at the end of 2023?
58% chance
"Will the UK hold a general election in 2023?"
56% chance
[ACX2024] Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024?
50% chance
[Kalshi] Will there be a recession by the end of 2024?
50% chance
"Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2023?"
56% chance
Will Boris Johnson resign before March 2022?
54% chance
"At the end of 2023, will prediction markets say Ron DeSantis is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024?"
48% chance
"At the end of 2023, will prediction markets say Joe Biden is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024?"
49% chance
"Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2023?"
33% chance
"Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2023?"
52% chance