Will Sam Altman and Greg Brockman start a new AI company, or join a competitor to OpenAI, before 2025?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.

Resolution criteria

The question resolves Yes if, before January 1, 2025, both Sam Altman and Greg Brockman are either:

1. Cofounders of a new company that aims to train foundation models

2. Employees of an existing company that aims to train foundation models

That company must not be OpenAI. They must both be cofounders or employees at the same company.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.

Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.