Will Punxsutawney Phil see his shadow on Groundhog's Day, 2022?
Basic
5
Ṁ164Feb 2
70%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Punxsutawney Phil is the name of the Groundhog from Groundhog's day. Every year they bring him out, and legend is if he "see his shadow", then winter will continue for six more weeks.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Groundhog_Day
So, when the men in fancy hats bring him out in February, will the little critter "see his shadow" (according to his handlers), or not?
#fun
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Punxsutawney Phil's behavior on Groundhog's Day 2022 correctly predict winter's end?
50% chance
[Metaculus] Will the US see a large-scale riot in 2023 or 2024?
50% chance
Will Manifold parse the date in this question by 2024?
50% chance
Will 2024 be the warmest year on record?
50% chance
Will Starship reach orbit by the end of 2022?
37% chance
Will 2022 will be warmer than 2021?
62% chance
Will Trump be indicted in 2023?
52% chance
Will the US Government Declassify more UFO footage in 2022?
43% chance
Will PredictIt think Donald Trump is the most likely 2024 GOP nominee by the end of 2022?
27% chance
"At the end of 2023, will prediction markets say Donald Trump is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024?"
57% chance